Colombia vs Costa Rica | Friendlies | 01/06/2026

Colombia hosts Costa Rica in a friendly that promises to be more than a warm-up in Bogotรก. With no league positions at stake, both teams will focus on refining tactics and building momentum. Colombia, unbeaten in their last three home games, looks to exploit Costa Rica’s shaky away form, particularly their leaky defense that has

27.05.2026 12:49
Friendlies|01/06/2026
Colombia
44%
VS
Costa Rica
31%
44%
25%
31%
ColombiaDraw 25%Costa Rica
🏆
Prediction
Colombia
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
69% probability
🔁
YES
55% probability
Model Confidence
88%
★ BEST BET
Colombia Win
Colombia's home record shows strength with five wins out of ten, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. Costa Rica struggles away, winning just two of their last ten on the road. The model gives Colombia a 44% chance of winning, a solid edge over the implied odds probability.
Final Result
Colombia 3 : 1 Costa Rica
Our prediction: 1 โœ“
💡 Costa Rica's decline is stark โ€” just one win in their last five matches, including a heavy 5-0 loss to Iran, highlights their defensive vulnerabilities on the road.

Colombia hosts Costa Rica in a friendly that promises to be more than a warm-up in Bogotรก. With no league positions at stake, both teams will focus on refining tactics and building momentum. Colombia, unbeaten in their last three home games, looks to exploit Costa Rica's shaky away form, particularly their leaky defense that has conceded heavily in recent outings. This clash offers a chance for Colombia to assert their dominance, backed by a robust home record.

📊 Team Statistics
Colombia
LLWWD
5
Draws
7
Losses
Avg Scored1.7
Avg Conceded1.1
Over 2.560%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets7
Failed to Score5
Home5W 2D 3L
Away3W 3D 4L
Costa Rica
LDDLW
7
Draws
5
Losses
Avg Scored2.3
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.570%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets6
Failed to Score7
Home6W 2D 2L
Away2W 5D 3L

Current Form & Season Narrative

Colombia's recent form has been a rollercoaster, but their home performances tell a different story. After a shaky start with consecutive losses to France and Croatia, they bounced back emphatically with a 3-0 win over Australia and a 2-1 victory against New Zealand. Their ability to score freely at home, averaging 1.8 goals per game, sets them apart. Meanwhile, Costa Rica's season has spiraled, particularly away from home. Despite a 4-1 win over Nicaragua, they were humbled by Iran in a 5-0 rout. Their defensive frailties have been evident, conceding an average of 1.1 goals on the road. The contrast is clear: Colombia's solid home attack against Costa Rica's vulnerable defense. This dynamic could prove decisive, as Colombia seeks to capitalize on their scoring prowess.

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Head-to-Head: The Rivalry Story

The head-to-head narrative between Colombia and Costa Rica is dominated by the former, with two wins in their last three meetings. The most recent clash saw Colombia triumph 3-0, underscoring their offensive superiority. Historically, these encounters are goal-rich, averaging four goals per match, with all three games surpassing the 2.5 goals mark. Costa Rica's sole victory in 2016 was an anomaly rather than the norm. This rivalry is characterized by Colombia's attacking flair and Costa Rica's struggle to contain it. Fans approaching this match will recall Colombia's consistent ability to break down Costa Rican defenses, and the expectation is for more of the same.

Match Prediction & Best Bet

Colombia is favored to win at odds of 2.27. Statistically, Colombia holds a 44% probability of victory, bolstered by their higher xG of 1.38 compared to Costa Rica's 1.17. Playing at home, Colombia's recent performances include key wins against formidable teams, showcasing their offensive strength. In contrast, Costa Rica's form on the road is shaky, with just two victories in ten attempts. The value edge lies in the probability of Colombia's win, as the odds imply a lower chance than the model suggests. However, Costa Rica's capacity for surprise makes Double Chance bets appealing for risk-averse punters.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
Who will win Colombia vs Costa Rica?
Colombia is predicted to win with a 44% probability. They have a strong home record, winning five out of ten matches and scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game. Costa Rica's away form is weak, with only two wins in ten games.
2
Will both teams score in Colombia vs Costa Rica?
The BTTS percentage for this match is 55%. Historically, the BTTS rate in their meetings is 67%. Costa Rica is more likely to fail to score, given their inconsistent away attack.
3
What is Colombia's recent form?
Colombia's last five results include two wins, two losses, and a draw, scoring a total of nine goals. At home, they've won five of ten, averaging 1.8 goals and securing three clean sheets. Their form is stable, with recent improvements at home.
4
What is at stake in Colombia vs Costa Rica?
With no league standings, the match is about building momentum and tactical refinement. Colombia seeks to exploit Costa Rica's defensive weaknesses to reinforce their home dominance.
5
Is the Double Chance bet worth it for Colombia vs Costa Rica?
The Double Chance bet for Colombia or Draw (1X) is priced at 1.34. The combined probability is 69%, offering a solid edge over implied odds. Given Costa Rica's poor away form, this bet provides a safer alternative.
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