Bayer LeverkusenDraw 13%Hamburger SV
🏆
Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.31
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.33
57% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.53
53% probability
Bayer Leverkusen
Win @ 1.31
Bayer Leverkusen's superior home form and higher attacking xG of 2.98 compared to Hamburger SV's 0.79 makes them strong favorites. Leverkusen's solid home record and recent victory over Hamburg add weight to their
winning chances.
💡 Bayer Leverkusen has a potent home attack, averaging 2.1 goals per
game at BayArena, which is pivotal against Hamburger SV's shaky away defense.
Final Result
Bayer Leverkusen 1 : 1 Hamburger SV
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Bayer Leverkusen hosts Hamburger SV at BayArena in Leverkusen. This clash is crucial for Leverkusen's push for European spots, and they have the upper hand. Leverkusen, ranked sixth, is eyeing a Europa League berth. They're formidable at home and have the stats to prove it. Hamburger SV, struggling at 11th, faces a tough task. They've been inconsistent away, and Leverkusen's firepower could exploit that. Expect an intense battle where Leverkusen's sharp attack looks to dominate.
Avg Scored1.75
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.545%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.560%
BTTS75%
Clean Sheets3
🏟️Venue
BayArena, Leverkusen
30,210 capacity · Grass
⭐ Bayer Leverkusen — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Aleix García | Midfielder | 3 | 7 | 7.48 | 32 | 48 |
| Álex Grimaldo | Midfielder | 8 | 8 | 7.33 | 28 | 68 |
| E. Tapsoba | Defender | 5 | 3 | 7.22 | 28 | 10 |
| J. Blaswich | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.22 | 11 | 2 |
| I. Maza | Attacker | 3 | 4 | 7.13 | 27 | 28 |
⭐ Hamburger SV — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.18 | 32 | 0 |
| J. Dompé | Attacker | 3 | 0 | 7.04 | 20 | 33 |
| M. Muheim | Midfielder | 0 | 4 | 6.98 | 28 | 41 |
| N. Remberg | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 6.91 | 30 | 9 |
| J. Torunarigha | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.83 | 23 | 1 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.06
Double Chance X23.25
Double Chance 121.11
Over 1.5 Goals1.1
Under 1.5 Goals6.5
Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen is set to dominate. With a home xG of 2.98, they have the offensive edge. Álex Grimaldo and Aleix García are pivotal, providing goals and creativity. Hamburger's away defense, conceding 1.9 per game, is vulnerable. Leverkusen's odds of 1.31 reflect their superiority. Expect them to win comfortably, exploiting Hamburger's defensive gaps. The model's most likely score is 2-0, aligning with Leverkusen's home strength and Hamburger's away struggles.
Focus: Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen is on a mission. They're sixth with 58 points, pushing hard for a Europa League spot. Their home form is strong, boasting 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. They average 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at BayArena. Key players like Aleix García, with 3 goals and 7 assists, and Álex Grimaldo, contributing 8 goals and 8 assists, drive the team forward. Their 3-4-2-1 formation allows for dynamic attacking play. Recent form shows inconsistency, but a 4-1 win against RB Leipzig highlights their potential. Expect them to exploit Hamburger SV's defensive frailties.
The Visitors: Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV is struggling on the road. With just 3 wins away, they've conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game. Recent away form is shaky, with losses to Werder Bremen and VfB Stuttgart highlighting defensive issues. J. Dompé offers some attacking threat, but overall, their 3-4-3 formation has been porous. Their 11th place standing reflects instability. Averaging 1.2 goals scored away isn't enough against a side like Leverkusen. Their defense will be tested, and recent away form doesn't inspire confidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
Bayer Leverkusen: 1.31, Draw: 5.25, Hamburger SV: 8.5. Leverkusen's
odds imply a 76% chance of
winning, matching the model's probability, making it a value
bet.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
The model suggests 2-0 as the most likely
score. Leverkusen's xG of 2.98 vs Hamburger's 0.79 supports a dominant home
win.
3
What is Bayer Leverkusen's recent form?
Last 5: LWWLW, scoring 12 and conceding 8. At home, they've won 9, averaging 2.1 goals, with 6 clean sheets. Form is slightly declining.
4
What is Hamburger SV's away form this season?
Last 5 away: WLLLW. They've won 3 away
games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 1.9 per
match.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
Double Chance 1X: 1.06, X2: 3.25, 12: 1.11. 1X has a 94% implied probability, aligning with Leverkusen's home strength, making it a safe option.
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Bundesliga16.05.2026
