Celta VigoDraw 20%Levante
🏆
Prediction
Celta Vigo @ 1.7
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.8
53% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.75
60% probability
Celta Vigo sits in a strong position for Europa League qualification, while Levante struggles in the relegation zone. With Celta's superior home goal-scoring average of 1.44 per
game and Levante's poor away form, the
odds favor a Celta victory.
💡 Despite Celta Vigo's recent form showing a decline, their home performance against lower-ranked
teams like Levante has been consistently strong, suggesting a tactical advantage in this fixture.
Final Result
Celta Vigo 2 : 3 Levante
Our prediction: 1 ✗
As we approach the end of the La Liga season, Celta Vigo hosts Levante in a crucial match at an undisclosed venue. Celta, currently ranked 6th, is eyeing a Europa League spot, while Levante battles to escape relegation. This match is pivotal for both teams' aspirations, with Celta looking to capitalize on their home advantage against a Levante side desperate for points.
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.560%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.530%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets6
⭐ Celta Vigo — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Marcos Alonso | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.04 | 28 | 13 |
| Hugo Sotelo | Midfielder | 0 | 2 | 7.04 | 19 | 26 |
| I. Radu | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.99 | 34 | 1 |
| Óscar Mingueza | Midfielder | 1 | 4 | 6.93 | 30 | 28 |
| Iago Aspas | Attacker | 5 | 3 | 6.90 | 28 | 29 |
⭐ Levante — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Pablo Cuñat | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Dela | Defender | 2 | 1 | 6.96 | 29 | 14 |
| Iván Romero | Attacker | 7 | 1 | 6.94 | 29 | 24 |
| José Luis Morales | Attacker | 7 | 1 | 6.94 | 19 | 24 |
| M. Moreno | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.85 | 24 | 5 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.2
Double Chance X22.1
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.25
Under 1.5 Goals3.9
Form Comparison
Celta Vigo's recent form has been a rollercoaster, with a record of WLLLW in their last five. Despite a strong home form earlier in the season, they've struggled recently, evident in their 3-1 victory against Elche after a string of losses. Levante's form is slightly more stable with LDWWL, showing resilience despite their league position. They have managed two wins in their last five, including a notable 2-0 victory over Sevilla. However, their away form remains a concern, averaging just 0.78 goals per game while conceding two on average, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.
Expert Prediction
Given the stakes and current form, Celta Vigo is favored to win, with odds of 1.7 reflecting their stronger home record and Levante's struggles on the road. Celta's ability to score, especially at home, combined with Levante's defensive frailties, suggests a likely victory for the hosts. The pressure is particularly on Levante, who need to overcome their away challenges to stay in the fight for survival. The model gives Celta a 64% chance of winning, highlighting the disparity in form and league positioning.
Match Stakes & Context
Celta Vigo finds themselves in a promising position to secure European football next season. Ranked 6th with 47 points, they are on the cusp of a Europa League spot. Their goal difference of +4 underscores a season of both attacking prowess and defensive challenges. For Levante, the situation is dire. Sitting 19th with just 33 points, they are in the relegation zone, facing the daunting task of overcoming a 14-point gap to safety. The stakes are immense; a win for Celta could solidify their European ambitions, while Levante must win to keep their survival hopes alive.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Celta Vigo vs Levante?
Celta Vigo is predicted to
win with a 64% probability. Key reasons include their home goal average of 1.44 and Levante's poor away form, conceding 2 goals per
match on average.
2
What are the
odds for Celta Vigo vs Levante?
The
odds are Celta Vigo: 1.7, Draw: 3.9, Levante: 4.45. These imply probabilities of 58.8%, 25.6%, and 22.5% respectively. Celta Vigo's
odds represent value compared to the model's 64%
winning probability.
3
The BTTS probability is 60%, with
odds of BTTS Yes at 1.75 and No at 2. Levante is more likely to fail to
score, given they have failed in 8 out of 20 recent matches.
4
What is the best
bet for Celta Vigo vs Levante?
The best value
bet is Celta Vigo to
win at
odds of 1.7. The model's probability of 64% exceeds the implied
odds probability of 58.8%, indicating a value edge.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about Celta Vigo vs Levante?
In the last 10 meetings, Celta Vigo has won 5 times, drawn 2, and lost 3. The average goals per
game is 3.4, with 60% of matches going over 2.5 goals. Celta has shown recent dominance with
wins in the last two encounters.
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La Liga12.05.2026
