AS RomaDraw 21%Fiorentina
🏆
Prediction
AS Roma @ 1.63
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.85
59% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.85
61% probability
BTTS Yes @ 1.85
AS Roma showcases a solid offensive form at home, averaging 2.09 goals per
game, while Fiorentina's away
games see them scoring 1.56 on average. The H2H history indicates a 70% BTTS rate, reinforcing the potential for both
teams to find the net.
💡 AS Roma's recent uptrend with 2 points per
game suggests they are peaking at the right time, making them a formidable opponent, particularly at home.
Final Result
AS Roma 4 : 0 Fiorentina
Our prediction: 1 โ
As Serie A enters its crucial final stretch, AS Roma is poised to secure a spot in European competitions, while Fiorentina fights to distance themselves from the relegation zone. This match at a pivotal time in the season could define the trajectory for both clubs. With AS Roma sitting at 6th and Fiorentina at 15th, the stakes are high for contrasting reasons. The venue's atmosphere will be charged as both teams have something to prove.
Avg Scored1.75
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.545%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets8
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.565%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets6
โญ AS Roma โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Soulรฉ | Attacker | 6 | 5 | 7.13 | 29 | 40 |
| M. Svilar | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.06 | 34 | 0 |
| M. Konรฉ | Midfielder | 2 | 2 | 7.06 | 26 | 24 |
| B. Cristante | Midfielder | 2 | 1 | 7.05 | 33 | 25 |
| Wesley | Midfielder | 4 | 0 | 7.01 | 27 | 28 |
โญ Fiorentina โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| N. Fagioli | Midfielder | 2 | 3 | 7.28 | 30 | 60 |
| R. Mandragora | Midfielder | 6 | 3 | 7.02 | 31 | 32 |
| Dodรด | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 7.01 | 32 | 44 |
| David de Gea | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.96 | 34 | 1 |
| L. Ranieri | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.88 | 31 | 7 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.15
Double Chance X22.2
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.28
Under 1.5 Goals3.55
Form Comparison
AS Roma's form is on the upswing, with three wins in their last five matches, including a convincing 2-0 victory against Bologna. They have been consistent at home, boasting an average of 2.09 goals per game. Fiorentina, despite their lower standing, have shown resilience, particularly on the road, with a recent 1-0 win over Hellas Verona. Their away form of 1.56 goals per game indicates potential threats, but their stability is in question given their position.
Expert Prediction
AS Roma enters this match as favorites, priced at odds of 1.63, largely due to their strong home form and recent improvement. Fiorentina, although priced at 5.1, cannot be underestimated given their capacity for surprise away performances. The pressure on Fiorentina to avoid relegation may see them take risks, potentially opening up play. The odds suggest a likely home win, but the pressure to perform could lead to an open game with both teams scoring.
Match Stakes & Context
AS Roma currently holds the 6th position with 61 points, eyeing a place in the Conference League. Their goal difference of +19 reflects a stronger season than Fiorentina, who sit at 15th with 37 points and a negative goal difference of -7. For Roma, this match is about solidifying their European aspirations. Conversely, Fiorentina needs to secure points to ensure safety from the relegation battle. The pressure is palpable, with both teams having distinct season objectives that hinge on performances like this.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
AS Roma is predicted to
win with a 60% probability. Their home scoring average of 2.09 goals and a solid defense, conceding only 1.09 goals per
game at home, are significant factors. Fiorentina's away struggles add to Roma's advantage.
2
What are the
odds for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The
odds are AS Roma: 1.63, Draw: 3.85, Fiorentina: 5.1. This translates to implied probabilities of 61%, 26%, and 20% respectively. AS Roma's
odds present value compared to the model's 60%
win probability.
3
The BTTS probability is 61%, with
odds of 1.85 for Yes and 1.9 for No. Given Fiorentina's 60% BTTS rate in recent matches and AS Roma's 55%, both
teams are likely to
score.
4
What is the best
bet for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
The best value
bet is BTTS Yes at
odds of 1.85. The model's 61% BTTS probability offers a value edge over the implied
odds probability of 54%.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
In the last 10 meetings, AS Roma has won 5 times, Fiorentina 3, with 2 draws. The average goals per meeting is 3, with 60% of matches going over 2.5 goals. AS Roma has shown recent dominance with two consecutive
wins.
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Serie A04.05.2026
