USL W League|13/06/2026
Salmon Bay WDraw 11%Olympia W
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
55% probability
Salmon Bay W is overwhelmingly favored with a model probability of 88%, backed by their superior goal difference and consistent home form. Their average of 3 goals per
game at home far outpaces Olympia's 1.75 goals conceded on the road. With Olympia's declining trend and Salmon Bay's solid defensive record, the home side is set to capitalize on this matchup.
💡 Salmon Bay W's home goal-scoring average of 3 goals per
game is a powerhouse stat, revealing their attacking dominance on their turf, a critical factor against an Olympia defense conceding 1.75 away.
Final Result
Salmon Bay W 3 : 1 Olympia W
Our prediction: 1 โ
In the heart of the USL W League, Salmon Bay W hosts Olympia W in a top-of-the-table clash that promises fireworks. Salmon Bay, perched at second with 21 points, trails the league leaders Olympia by just one point. The stakes couldn't be higher, with both teams eyeing the top spot. Salmon Bay's home fortress sees them boasting an average of 3 goals per game, a daunting prospect for any opponent. Their recent 4-0 demolition of Olympia showcases their attacking prowess, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter.
Avg Scored2.88
Avg Conceded0.44
Over 2.550%
BTTS31%
Clean Sheets10
Avg Scored1.85
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.560%
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets8
Current Form & Season Narrative
Salmon Bay W is riding a wave of form, unbeaten in four of their last five, including an emphatic 6-1 away win over Bigfoot. Their home form is rock-solid, with five wins and an average of 3 goals scored per match. Olympia W, on the other hand, is showing signs of fragility, having lost three of their last five games. Their away form is inconsistent, with losses like their recent 7-0 drubbing at Snohomish United. The striking contrast is in their defensive records; Salmon Bay's home defense is nearly impenetrable, with just 0.43 goals conceded per game, whereas Olympia's away defense leaks an average of 1.75 goals.
Head-to-Head: The Rivalry Story
Salmon Bay W has the psychological edge in this rivalry, having won two of the last three meetings against Olympia W. Their most recent encounter ended in a dominant 4-0 victory, emphasizing their superiority. The average goals per meeting are low, indicating tight contests, but Salmon Bay's ability to keep clean sheets against Olympia stands out. Olympia has struggled to break down Salmon Bay's defense, failing to score in two of the last three clashes. Fans will feel the weight of history, knowing that Salmon Bay has consistently outperformed Olympia in key moments.
Match Prediction & Best Bet
Salmon Bay W is the clear pick for victory. Statistically, they hold an 88% probability of winning, with an xG of 3.56 compared to Olympia's 0.44, underscoring their offensive and defensive edge. Momentum favors Salmon Bay with their stable form and home advantage, while Olympia's recent losses highlight their vulnerabilities. The model probability of 88% against the implied odds probability creates a significant value edge. However, if Olympia finds early rhythm, they could disrupt Salmon Bayโs flow, a minor risk given their away struggles.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Salmon Bay W vs Olympia W?
Salmon Bay W is predicted to
win with an 88% probability. Their formidable home record, averaging 3 goals per
game, and defensive strength, conceding just 0.43 per
match, give them a clear edge. Olympia's recent form is shaky, with multiple losses indicating a downward trend.
2
Will both
teams score in Salmon Bay W vs Olympia W?
The likelihood of both
teams scoring is low, with a BTTS percentage of 24%. Salmon Bay's clean sheet rate is strong, and Olympia has failed to
score in 7 of their last 20 matches. The
odds for BTTS No are compelling given these statistics.
3
What is Salmon Bay W's recent form?
Salmon Bay W's recent form includes a 1-1 draw with Portland Cherry Bombs, a 3-0
win over Tacoma Galaxy, and a 6-1 victory at Bigfoot. Their home record is impressive with 5
wins, 3 goals scored on average, and 4 clean sheets. Their form is stable, showing consistent performance.
4
What is at stake in Salmon Bay W vs Olympia W?
This
match is crucial as both
teams vie for the top spot in the USL W League. Salmon Bay W sits second with 21 points, just one point behind Olympia W. A
win for Salmon Bay would propel them to the top, highlighting the high stakes in this encounter.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Salmon Bay W vs Olympia W?
The Double Chance 1X
bet for Salmon Bay W offers a solid safety net, with a combined probability well over 90%. Given Salmon Bay's strong home form and Olympia's inconsistent away performances, this
bet provides good risk-adjusted value.