World Cup|20/06/2026
GermanyDraw 28%Ivory Coast
🏆
Prediction
Germany @ 1.54
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.7
52% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.77
43% probability
Over 1.5 @ 1.22
The probability of over 1.5 goals is 75%, making it the safest
bet with a 13% value edge over implied
odds. Germany's attacking prowess at home, averaging 3.45 goals per
game, supports this pick. Ivory Coast's defensive resilience might challenge, but their recent matches also trend towards higher scores.
💡 Germany's home scoring average of 3.45 goals per
game is a striking figure, indicating their offensive dominance on home soil, which is crucial in this World Cup clash.
Final Result
Germany 2 : 1 Ivory Coast
Our prediction: 1 โ
Germany takes on Ivory Coast in Toronto with a World Cup victory in their sights. With both teams in top form, Germany's home advantage and prolific scoring make them favorites. The stakes are high as both teams aim to make a statement on the world's biggest stage. Germany's impressive home record, with an average of 3.45 goals per game, could be the deciding factor in this encounter.
Avg Scored2.7
Avg Conceded1.05
Over 2.570%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets7
Avg Scored1.75
Avg Conceded0.45
Over 2.535%
BTTS20%
Clean Sheets14
๐๏ธVenue
BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
36,045 capacity ยท Grass
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.13
Double Chance X22.4
Double Chance 121.18
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 1.5 Goals4.2
Verdict: Where the Data Points
Expect over 1.5 goals with a 75% probability at odds of 1.22, representing a 13% value edge. Germany's attacking style, especially at home, supports this prediction. However, considering the odds, a Double Chance bet on Germany (1X) at odds of 1.13 provides a safety net against a potential draw. The risk lies in Ivory Coast's defensive capability, which could stifle Germany's attack.
Tactical Battle: How This Match Will Be Played
The key tactical question revolves around Germany's high-pressing attack versus Ivory Coast's disciplined defense. Germany often pushes forward aggressively, leveraging their width to create chances, reflected in their high corner count. Ivory Coast, on the other hand, relies on compact defensive structures and quick counters, evident from their low goals conceded rate of 0.58 on the road. The battle will likely be decided by Germany's ability to break down this resilient defense while managing the threat of Ivory Coast's counter-attacks. Expect Germany to dominate possession, but Ivory Coast's counter-punch could prove decisive if Germany overcommits.
The Numbers That Decide This Match
Germany's home scoring rate of 3.45 goals per game starkly contrasts with Ivory Coast's away conceding rate of just 0.58, highlighting a potential clash. Germany's ability to maintain clean sheets in 64% of their home matches adds defensive solidity to their attacking strength. Meanwhile, Ivory Coast's low BTTS rate of 20% suggests they are adept at either shutting teams out or being shut out, which could shape a low-scoring affair unless Germany's attack breaks through.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What is the correct
score prediction for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The model's most likely
score is 1-1, based on xG values of Germany at 1.56 and Ivory Coast at 1.11, indicating a tight contest with possible goals from both sides.
2
What is the best
bet for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The best value
bet is Over 1.5 goals at
odds of 1.22. With a model probability of 75%, this offers a 13% value edge over implied
odds.
3
What is Germany's recent form?
Germany has won their last five matches, scoring 7-1, 2-1, 4-0, 2-1, and 4-3. At home, they've been dominant, with 8
wins, averaging 3.45 goals per
game and keeping clean sheets in 4 out of 11 matches.
4
What is at stake in Germany vs Ivory Coast?
With no standings data available, the
match's significance lies in establishing dominance in the World Cup group stage, critical for advancing past the group stage.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The Double Chance 1X at
odds of 1.13 implies Germany avoids defeat 88% of the time. Given Germany's strong home form, this
bet offers security against a draw, with a combined probability higher than the implied
odds.