Football Prediction: Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands | Friendlies | 30/09/2026

As Papua New Guinea hosts Solomon Islands in this friendly encounter, the focus is on whether the home side can continue their recent improvement. With no league standings at stake, this match serves as a critical opportunity for both teams to fine-tune their tactics. Papua New Guinea has shown an uptick in form, with a

25.09.2026 07:01
Friendlies|30/09/2026
Papua New Guinea
45%
VS
Solomon Islands
32%
45%
23%
32%
Papua New GuineaDraw 23%Solomon Islands
🏆
Prediction
Papua New Guinea
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
59% probability
🔁
YES
60% probability
Model Confidence
88%
44%Model accuracy (last 60 days) โ€” 127/289
★ BEST BET
Papua New Guinea Win
Papua New Guinea has a 45% probability of winning, slightly higher than the implied odds at 2.20. Their home form, averaging 1.25 goals scored, tips the scale. Additionally, Solomon Islands have struggled on the road, conceding on average 1.5 goals per away match. These factors combined with recent improving trends make Papua New Guinea the stronger pick.
💡 Papua New Guinea has scored in 55% of their last 20 matches, with an upward trend in form, suggesting they are more likely to capitalize on their chances against a Solomon Islands team that concedes frequently.
Final Result
Papua New Guinea 1 : 1 Solomon Islands
Our prediction: 1 โœ—

As Papua New Guinea hosts Solomon Islands in this friendly encounter, the focus is on whether the home side can continue their recent improvement. With no league standings at stake, this match serves as a critical opportunity for both teams to fine-tune their tactics. Papua New Guinea has shown an uptick in form, with a recent record of two wins and a draw from their last five matches. This contrasts with Solomon Islands, who have managed only one win in the same span. The key statistical insight here is Papua New Guinea's home goal average of 1.25, which could be crucial against a Solomon Islands side that struggles defensively on the road.

📊 Team Statistics
Papua New Guinea
LLWWD
6
Draws
9
Losses
Avg Scored1.05
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.550%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets6
Failed to Score6
Home3W 3D 6L
Away2W 3D 3L
Solomon Islands
DWLLD
4
Draws
13
Losses
Avg Scored1
Avg Conceded2.1
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets3
Failed to Score9
Home1W 2D 7L
Away2W 2D 6L

Verdict: Where the Data Points

Verdict: Where the Data Points

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Tactical Battle: How This Match Will Be Played

Tactical Battle: How This Match Will Be Played

The Numbers That Decide This Match

The Numbers That Decide This Match

What Could Go Wrong

What Could Go Wrong

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Frequently Asked Questions

1
What is the correct score prediction for Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
The model's most likely score is 1-0 in favor of Papua New Guinea. With an xG of 1.51, Papua New Guinea is expected to score at least once, while Solomon Islands' xG of 0.95 indicates a struggle to find the net.
2
What is the best bet for Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
The best value bet is Papua New Guinea to win, priced at odds of 2.20. The model gives them a 45% probability, which provides a value edge over the implied probability.
3
What is Solomon Islands's away form this season?
Solomon Islands have won 1, drawn 1, and lost 3 in their last five away matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and conceding 1.5.
4
What is the Draw No Bet option for Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
Draw No Bet refunds your stake if the match ends in a draw. Papua New Guinea DNB is priced at 1.60, while Solomon Islands DNB is priced at 1.90. Considering Papua New Guinea's home advantage, DNB on them offers better value than a straight win.
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