EnglandDraw 27%Costa Rica
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
40% probability
England's probability of
winning stands at 59%, driven by a strong home performance where they average 2 goals per
game and keep clean sheets in 13 of their last 20 matches. Costa Rica's away form sees them
win only 2 of their last 11
games, conceding an average of 1.18 goals. The value edge is clear, making an England
win a solid
bet.
💡 England has managed to keep a clean sheet in 13 out of their last 20 matches, a testament to their defensive solidity, particularly at home where they concede just 0.64 goals per
game. This underlines their ability to control
games from the back, a critical factor against Costa Rica's inconsistent attack.
Final Result
England 3 : 0 Costa Rica
Our prediction: 1 โ
In this friendly clash between England and Costa Rica, the stage is set in an unspecified venue. England, riding high on a season of impressive home form, seeks to assert dominance and refine their strategies. Costa Rica, meanwhile, aims to break their recent slump and prove their resilience on foreign turf. With England scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home and boasting a formidable defensive record, this match offers more than just practice; it's a showcase of tactical prowess and a test of resolve for both teams.
Avg Scored2.3
Avg Conceded0.55
Over 2.555%
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets13
Avg Scored2.15
Avg Conceded1.45
Over 2.565%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
Form Guide: The Last Month in Focus
England enters this match with a mixed bag of results. A recent 0-1 home loss to Japan and a 1-1 draw with Uruguay suggest a slight dip in form, yet they rebounded with a commanding 2-0 away win over Albania. Their attacking play, averaging 5.6 shots on target, remains a threat. Costa Rica, however, hasn't tasted victory in their last five outings, suffering a heavy 0-5 home defeat to Iran and a 2-0 away loss to Colombia. Their struggles are compounded by an average of just 1.6 shots on target per game. England's recent form, despite minor setbacks, shows resilience and a solid attacking front, whereas Costa Rica's lack of victories and defensive frailties highlight their challenges. England's confidence, particularly in attack, seems poised to exploit Costa Rica's vulnerabilities.
Prediction: What the Environment Suggests
Analyzing the home advantage, England's strong home form is a compelling factor. Their ability to score and defend efficiently at home contrasts sharply with Costa Rica's inconsistent away performance. The probability model favors England at 59%, with a value edge over implied odds. Costa Rica's travel struggles, coupled with England's defensive solidity, suggest a home win is likely. The data supports a direct bet on England to win, priced at 1.70, offering more certainty than riskier markets. While Costa Rica's flair on occasion could pose a threat, the overall environment and statistics heavily favor England.
The Home Factor: How Much Does It Matter Here?
England's home advantage is a significant factor in this fixture. With 7 wins out of 11 home matches, they average 2 goals per game while conceding only 0.64, highlighting their ability to dominate at home. They have secured 13 clean sheets in their last 20 matches, showcasing a defensive strength thatโs hard to breach. In contrast, Costa Rica struggles on the road, having won only 2 of their last 11 away games. They score an average of 2 goals but concede 1.18, indicating vulnerabilities in defense. While Costa Rica's away form includes some high-scoring draws, their inability to consistently secure wins on foreign soil suggests that England's home prowess could prove decisive. The data implies that home advantage favors England, potentially overwhelming Costa Rica's traveling challenges.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win England vs Costa Rica?
England is predicted to
win with a 59% probability. They average 2 goals per
game at home and have kept 13 clean sheets in their last 20 matches. Costa Rica's away form is weaker,
winning only 2 of their last 11
games.
2
What is the best
bet for England vs Costa Rica?
The best value
bet is an England
win at
odds of 1.70. The model probability is 59%, providing a value edge over the implied
odds probability. England's strong home form and Costa Rica's away struggles justify this choice.
3
What is England's recent form?
England's recent form includes a 0-1 loss to Japan (home), a 1-1 draw with Uruguay (home), and a 2-0
win over Albania (away). At home, they've won 7 of their last 11, averaging 2 goals and keeping 13 clean sheets in 20
games. Their form shows slight decline, but remains strong overall.
4
What is the Draw No
Bet option for England vs Costa Rica?
Draw No
Bet means your stake is returned if the
match ends in a draw. England's DNB
odds are 1.30, while Costa Rica's are 3.50. The DNB offers safety for England backers, given their strong home record and Costa Rica's struggles.
5
Are there injury concerns for England vs Costa Rica?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injuries reported. This suggests both
teams can field their preferred line-ups, allowing full tactical deployment without concerns over missing key players.
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