At Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Iraq faces Norway in a high-stakes World Cup clash. Norway enters as the clear favorite, with their recent scoring spree of 59 goals in 20 matches, starkly contrasting Iraq’s 21. Norway’s form is a force, averaging nearly three goals per game, while Iraq’s defense will be under pressure. A win
Iraq vs Norway | World Cup | 16/06/2026
08.06.2026
06:09
World Cup16/06/2026
Iraq
34%
VS
Norway
38%
Prediction
Norway @ 1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.57
53% probability
★ BEST BET
BTTS Yes @ 2.15
Norway's dominance is clear with a 38% model probability for victory, surpassing Iraq's 34%. The xG comparison favors Norway at 1.49 over Iraq's 1.41, highlighting their offensive edge. Norway's away form is formidable, scoring an average of 2.33 goals per game, while Iraq concedes 1.1 at home, making Norway's win a solid choice.
Final Result
Iraq 1 : 4 Norway
Our prediction: 2 ✓
At Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Iraq faces Norway in a high-stakes World Cup clash. Norway enters as the clear favorite, with their recent scoring spree of 59 goals in 20 matches, starkly contrasting Iraq's 21. Norway's form is a force, averaging nearly three goals per game, while Iraq's defense will be under pressure. A win here can solidify Norway's standing as they aim for a commanding start, while Iraq seeks an upset on familiar turf.
Team Statistics
Venue
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
68,756 capacity · Artificial turf
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X4.33
Double Chance X21.03
Double Chance 121.11
Over 1.5 Goals1.18
Under 1.5 Goals4.75
Current Form & Season Narrative
For Iraq, the season arc has been a mixed bag. Recent matches highlight inconsistency, with a 1-1 draw against Spain followed by a narrow 1-0 win over Andorra. Yet, their home form tells a different story, boasting seven wins out of ten, demonstrating resilience on familiar ground. However, the recent downturn with two consecutive losses before their draw against Spain suggests fragility. Meanwhile, Norway rides high with a robust form, having only two losses in their last 20 matches. Their 4-1 triumph over Italy away from home speaks volumes about their attacking prowess and tactical discipline. Norway's ability to score freely—averaging 2.95 goals per game—is bolstered by their shot accuracy and possession dominance, often controlling games with 52% possession on average. The critical statistical contrast lies in Norway's away scoring efficiency versus Iraq's inconsistent home defense. This sets the stage for a clash where Norway’s momentum and offensive firepower could overpower Iraq’s home advantage.
Head-to-Head: The Rivalry Story
With no historical meetings between Iraq and Norway, this match sets the stage for a new chapter. Both teams will aim to establish dominance in this fresh rivalry. The lack of past encounters means neither side can rely on historical advantages, making tactical adaptability crucial. Norway's superior scoring record and defensive stability suggest they may have the upper hand. Iraq, however, will look to exploit their home turf advantage, having demonstrated resilience in similar situations. Fans of both teams will enter this match with anticipation, knowing that this could set the tone for future encounters.
Match Prediction & Best Bet
Norway is poised to win against Iraq, priced at odds of 1.21. Statistically, Norway holds a 38% probability of winning, supported by an xG of 1.49 compared to Iraq’s 1.41, and a confident 77% model rating. Their recent form, characterized by high-scoring victories like the 4-1 win over Italy, showcases their attacking threat. Contextually, Norway's away record of scoring 2.33 goals per match contrasts sharply with Iraq’s home defensive average, which indicates potential goals for the visitors. From a value perspective, Norway's implied probability of 82.64% offers a reasonable edge over Iraq. While Norway seems the safe bet, Iraq’s home resilience could test their mettle if they capitalize on set-piece opportunities.
