AlmeriaDraw 14%Valladolid
🏆
Prediction
Almeria @ 1.41
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.57
68% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.7
58% probability
Over 1.5 @ 1.18
Given Almeria's average of 2 goals per
game and Valladolid's tendency to concede, expect goals. With Almeria's home
games frequently exceeding 2.5 goals, this is a solid wager.
💡 Almeria's home form is explosive, scoring almost 3 goals per
game, while Valladolid struggles on the road, conceding over 2 goals per
match.
Final Result
Almeria 1 : 0 Valladolid
Our prediction: 1 ✓
Get ready for an exciting clash as Almeria hosts Valladolid in a crucial Segunda División matchup. Almeria is eyeing promotion with a solid home record, while Valladolid fights to distance itself from the drop zone. Expect a thrilling encounter as both teams have plenty on the line. The stakes are high, and with Almeria's prolific scoring at home, this match promises goals.
Avg Scored2
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.575%
BTTS75%
Clean Sheets2
Avg Scored1.15
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.555%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets6
⭐ Almeria — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Sergio Arribas | Midfielder | 24 | 7 | 7.41 | 41 | 86 |
| Andrés Fernández | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.15 | 40 | 0 |
| Adri Embarba | Midfielder | 15 | 9 | 7.03 | 39 | 62 |
| D. Lopy | Midfielder | 3 | 2 | 6.97 | 26 | 19 |
| Miguel de la Fuente | Attacker | 5 | 4 | 6.95 | 20 | 25 |
⭐ Valladolid — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Álvaro Aceves | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.03 | 11 | 0 |
| Iván Alejo | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.00 | 35 | 49 |
| Chuky San José | Midfielder | 7 | 7 | 6.96 | 34 | 46 |
| A. Ndiaye | Midfielder | 4 | 0 | 6.91 | 18 | 14 |
| S. Jurić | Midfielder | 1 | 1 | 6.90 | 35 | 25 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.1
Double Chance X22.8
Double Chance 121.14
Over 1.5 Goals1.18
Under 1.5 Goals4.75
Historical Data
In their last 10 meetings, Valladolid has the upper hand with 5 wins to Almeria's 1. These matches have averaged 2.2 goals, with 50% seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in half of them. Almeria's last win came back in 2021, indicating a tough challenge ahead. However, with their current form, they might just turn the tables.
Model Output & Recommendation
The Poisson model gives Almeria a 73% chance of winning, with a draw at 14% and Valladolid at 13%. The confidence score is high at 88%, considering data strength and team form. The odds reflect this with Almeria at 1.41, indicating their strong position. The model suggests a 4-1 scoreline, emphasizing Almeria's potent attack against Valladolid's shaky defense.
Statistical Deep Dive
Almeria has been a force at home, averaging 2.8 goals per game, while conceding 1.5. Their matches often turn into high-scoring affairs, with 75% going over 2.5 goals. Valladolid, on the other hand, struggles away, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3 per game. Both teams have seen 75% and 40% of their matches ending with both teams scoring, respectively. Almeria's xG of 4.4 against Valladolid's 1.07 highlights their offensive superiority.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Almeria vs Valladolid?
Almeria is predicted to
win with a 73% probability. They average 2 goals per
game at home and have a strong xG of 4.4 for this
match, showcasing their offensive prowess. Meanwhile, Valladolid has been inconsistent, especially away from home.
2
What are the
odds for Almeria vs Valladolid?
The
odds for the
match are Almeria: 1.41, Draw: 4.6, Valladolid: 7. This translates to implied probabilities of 70.9% for Almeria, 21.7% for a draw, and 14.3% for Valladolid. Almeria's
odds offer value given the model's 73%
win probability.
3
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Almeria vs Valladolid?
Yes, there is a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, supported by Almeria's average home goals and the model's 68% chance for this outcome. With
odds of 1.57, it's a reasonable expectation given the
teams' scoring and conceding patterns.
4
What is the correct
score prediction for Almeria vs Valladolid?
The model predicts a 4-1 victory for Almeria. This aligns with their high xG of 4.4 and their scoring trend at home, while Valladolid's defensive frailties on the road make this an anticipated outcome.
5
There's a 58% chance both
teams will
score, with BTTS
odds at 1.7. Almeria's home
games see 75% BTTS, but Valladolid often fails to
score away, making Almeria the more reliable scoring side.
*,.fap-wrap *,.fap-markets *,.fap-table *,.fap-faq * {box-sizing:border-box}
/* ── Wrapper ── */
.fap-wrap {
width:100%;max-width:100%;
margin:0 0 28px;border-radius:16px;overflow:hidden;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,.08);
font-family:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;
background:#fff;
}
/* ── Meta bar ── */
.fap-meta-bar {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;flex-wrap:wrap;
padding:10px 20px;background:#f8fafc;
border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
font-size:12px;color:#64748b;
}
.fap-flag{height:16px;border-radius:2px}
.fap-league-logo{height:22px;object-fit:contain}
.fap-league-name{font-weight:700;color:#334155}
.fap-meta-sep{color:#cbd5e1}
.fap-
match-date{color:#94a3b8}
/* ── Header ── */
.fap-header {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr auto 1fr;
align-items:center;gap:16px;
padding:28px 24px 20px;
background:linear-gradient(135deg,#f0f9ff 0%,#fff 50%,#fff5f5 100%);
}
.fap-
team{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:10px}
.fap-
team-home{align-items:flex-start}
.fap-
team-away{align-items:flex-end}
.fap-logo-wrap {
width:80px;height:80px;border-radius:50%;
background:#fff;border:2px solid #e2e8f0;
box-shadow:0 2px 12px rgba(0,0,0,.1);
display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
overflow:hidden;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-
team-logo{width:64px;height:64px;object-fit:contain}
.fap-logo-placeholder{font-size:28px;font-weight:900;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-
team-name{font-size:17px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;text-align:center;line-height:1.2}
.fap-
team-home .fap-
team-name{text-align:left}
.fap-
team-away .fap-
team-name{text-align:right}
.fap-
team-prob{font-size:13px;font-weight:700;padding:4px 12px;border-radius:20px}
.fap-prob-home{background:#dbeafe;color:#1d4ed8}
.fap-prob-away{background:#fee2e2;color:#b91c1c}
.fap-vs-block{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;justify-content:center}
.fap-vs{font-size:20px;font-weight:900;color:#94a3b8;letter-spacing:2px}
/* ── Prob bar ── */
.fap-prob-bar-wrap{padding:0 0 4px}
.fap-prob-bar{display:flex;height:40px;overflow:hidden}
.fap-pb-home,.fap-pb-draw,.fap-pb-away {
display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
font-size:13px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;min-width:36px;
}
.fap-pb-home{background:#2563eb}
.fap-pb-draw{background:#64748b}
.fap-pb-away{background:#dc2626}
.fap-pb-labels {
display:flex;justify-content:space-between;
padding:6px 16px;font-size:11px;color:#64748b;font-weight:600;
background:#f8fafc;border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
/* ── Markets grid ── */
.fap-markets {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:repeat(3,1fr);
gap:1px;background:#e2e8f0;
border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
.fap-market {
background:#fff;padding:16px 14px;
display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;
text-align:center;gap:4px;border-top:3px solid transparent;
}
.fap-market-pred{border-top-color:#2563eb}
.fap-market-yes{border-top-color:#16a34a;background:#f0fdf4}
.fap-market-no{border-top-color:#dc2626;background:#fef2f2}
.fap-mkt-icon{font-size:22px;line-height:1;margin-bottom:2px}
.fap-mkt-label{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.8px;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-mkt-val{font-size:17px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;line-height:1.2}
.fap-mkt-pct{font-size:11px;color:#64748b;margin-top:2px}
.fap-odd{font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#16a34a;display:block;margin-top:2px}
/* ── Best
bet ── */
.fap-bestbet {
background:linear-gradient(135deg,#1e293b 0%,#0f172a 100%);
padding:20px 24px;color:#fff;
}
.fap-bb-star{font-size:11px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;color:#fbbf24;text-transform:uppercase;margin-bottom:6px}
.fap-bb-pick{font-size:22px;font-weight:900;color:#fff;margin-bottom:6px;line-height:1.2}
.fap-bb-reason{font-size:13px;color:#94a3b8;line-height:1.6}
.fap-insight{padding:14px 20px;background:#fffbeb;border-left:4px solid #f59e0b;font-size:14px;color:#92400e;line-height:1.6}
/* ── Stats section ── */
.fap-stats-section {
margin:0 0 28px;
font-family:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;
}
.fap-stats-title {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;
font-size:15px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;
padding:14px 20px 12px;
border-bottom:2px solid #e2e8f0;
background:#fff;
border-radius:14px 14px 0 0;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
border-bottom:2px solid #e2e8f0;
margin-bottom:-1px;
}
.fap-stats-title-icon{font-size:18px}
.fap-stat-cards{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:0}
/* ── Individual stat card ── */
.fap-sc {
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
border-top:none;
background:#fff;
overflow:hidden;
}
.fap-sc:last-child{border-radius:0 0 14px 14px}
.fap-sc-home{border-left:4px solid #2563eb}
.fap-sc-away{border-left:4px solid #dc2626}
/* ── Card header ── */
.fap-sc-head {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;
padding:14px 16px 10px;
background:#fafbfd;
border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;
}
.fap-sc-logo {
width:40px;height:40px;
object-fit:contain;border-radius:50%;
background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;
padding:3px;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-sc-name{font-size:15px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b;margin-bottom:5px}
.fap-sc-form{display:flex;gap:3px;flex-wrap:wrap}
/* ── W/D/L row ── */
.fap-sc-wdl {
display:flex;align-items:stretch;
border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;
}
.fap-sc-wdl-item {
flex:1;display:flex;flex-direction:column;
align-items:center;justify-content:center;
padding:12px 8px;gap:3px;
}
.fap-sc-wdl-sep{width:1px;background:#f1f5f9;flex-shrink:0}
.fap-sc-big{font-size:24px;font-weight:900;line-height:1}
.fap-sc-tiny{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.6px;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-c-green{color:#16a34a}
.fap-c-amber{color:#d97706}
.fap-c-red{color:#dc2626}
/* ── Stats rows ── */
.fap-sc-rows{display:flex;flex-direction:column}
.fap-sc-row {
display:flex;align-items:center;
justify-content:space-between;
padding:9px 16px;
border-bottom:1px solid #f8fafc;
}
.fap-sc-row:last-child{border-bottom:none}
.fap-sc-row:nth-child(even){background:#fafbfd}
.fap-sc-row-lbl{font-size:12px;font-weight:600;color:#64748b;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.4px}
.fap-sc-row-val{font-size:14px;font-weight:800;color:#1e293b}
/* ── Form badges ── */
/* ── Form badges ── */
.fap-form-row{display:inline-flex;gap:3px;flex-wrap:nowrap}
.fap-fb {
display:inline-flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;
width:24px;height:24px;border-radius:50%;
font-size:10px;font-weight:800;color:#fff;flex-shrink:0;
}
.fap-fb-w{background:#16a34a}
.fap-fb-d{background:#d97706}
.fap-fb-l{background:#dc2626}
/* ── Mobile stat cards (hidden by default) ── */
.fap-stat-cards{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:14px}
.fap-stat-card{border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;background:#fff}
.fap-stat-card-home{border-top:3px solid #2563eb}
.fap-stat-card-away{border-top:3px solid #dc2626}
/* ── Confidence bar ── */
.fap-conf-bar {
display:flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;
padding:12px 20px;
background:#f8fafc;border-top:1px solid #e2e8f0;
}
.fap-conf-label {
font-size:11px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;
letter-spacing:.7px;color:#64748b;white-space:nowrap;min-width:130px;
}
.fap-conf-track {
flex:1;height:8px;background:#e2e8f0;
border-radius:4px;overflow:hidden;
}
.fap-conf-fill {
height:100%;border-radius:4px;
transition:width .4s ease;
}
.fap-conf-pct {
font-size:16px;font-weight:900;
min-width:48px;text-align:right;
}
/* ── FAQ ── */
.fap-faq{margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-faq-item {
display:grid;grid-template-columns:auto 1fr;gap:0;
border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;
overflow:hidden;margin-bottom:10px;
transition:box-shadow .15s;
}
.fap-faq-item:hover{box-shadow:0 4px 16px rgba(0,0,0,.08)}
.fap-faq-num {
display:flex;align-items:flex-start;justify-content:center;
padding:18px 16px;
background:#f0f9ff;
border-right:1px solid #e2e8f0;
font-size:18px;font-weight:900;color:#2563eb;
min-width:52px;
line-height:1.4;
}
.fap-faq-content{padding:16px 20px}
.fap-faq-q{font-size:15px;font-weight:700;color:#1e293b;margin-bottom:8px;line-height:1.4}
.fap-faq-a{font-size:14px;color:#475569;line-height:1.7}
/* ── v15: Info row (venue + coaches) ── */
.fap-info-row{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:12px;margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-info-card{display:flex;align-items:flex-start;gap:12px;background:#f8fafc;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;padding:14px 16px;flex:1;min-width:180px}
.fap-info-icon{font-size:22px;line-height:1;flex-shrink:0}
.fap-info-body{display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:2px}
.fap-info-label{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.06em;color:#94a3b8}
.fap-info-val{font-size:14px;font-weight:700;color:#1e293b}
.fap-info-sub{font-size:12px;color:#64748b}
/* ── v15: Key Players ── */
.fap-players-wrap{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;gap:20px;margin:0 0 28px}
.fap-players-
team{background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;overflow:hidden}
.fap-players-title{background:#1e293b;color:#fff;font-size:12px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.05em;padding:10px 14px}
.fap-players-table{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12px}
.fap-players-table th{background:#f1f5f9;color:#64748b;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;padding:7px 10px;text-align:left;border-bottom:1px solid #e2e8f0}
.fap-players-table td{padding:8px 10px;border-bottom:1px solid #f1f5f9;color:#334155}
.fap-players-table tr:last-child td{border-bottom:none}
.fap-players-table tr:hover td{background:#f8fafc}
.fap-rating{font-weight:700;color:#16a34a}
/* ── v15: Extended
odds ── */
.fap-ext-
odds{background:#f8fafc;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:12px;padding:16px 18px;margin:0 0 24px}
.fap-ext-
odds-title{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.06em;color:#64748b;margin-bottom:12px}
.fap-ext-
odds-grid{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:10px}
.fap-ext-odd-item{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;background:#fff;border:1px solid #e2e8f0;border-radius:8px;padding:10px 14px;min-width:110px;text-align:center}
.fap-ext-label{font-size:10px;color:#64748b;font-weight:600;margin-bottom:4px;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.04em}
.fap-ext-val{font-size:18px;font-weight:800;color:#0f172a}
@media(max-width:640px){
.fap-players-wrap{grid-template-columns:1fr}
.fap-info-row{flex-direction:column}
.fap-ext-
odds-grid{gap:8px}
.fap-ext-odd-item{min-width:90px;padding:8px 10px}
}
/* ── Mobile breakpoint ── */
@media (max-width:640px) {
.fap-header{grid-template-columns:1fr;padding:20px 16px 16px;gap:12px}
.fap-
team-home,.fap-
team-away{align-items:center}
.fap-
team-home .fap-
team-name,.fap-
team-away .fap-
team-name{text-align:center}
.fap-vs-block{order:-1;flex-direction:row;gap:12px}
.fap-logo-wrap{width:64px;height:64px}
.fap-
team-logo{width:50px;height:50px}
.fap-
team-name{font-size:15px}
.fap-markets{grid-template-columns:repeat(2,1fr)}
.fap-pb-home,.fap-pb-draw,.fap-pb-away{font-size:11px;min-width:28px}
.fap-pb-labels{font-size:10px;padding:5px 12px}
.fap-meta-bar{padding:8px 14px;font-size:11px}
.fap-bb-pick{font-size:18px}
.fap-faq-num{min-width:40px;padding:14px 12px;font-size:15px}
.fap-faq-content{padding:14px 14px}
.fap-faq-q{font-size:14px}
.fap-wrap,.fap-stats-wrap{border-radius:12px}
}
@media (max-width:380px) {
.fap-mkt-val{font-size:14px}
.fap-mkt-label{font-size:9px}
.fap-market{padding:12px 8px}
.fap-sc-val{font-size:16px}
}
Segunda División31.05.2026
