BrentfordDraw 32%Crystal Palace
🏆
Prediction
Brentford @ 1.71
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.65
49% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.65
55% probability
Double Chance 1X @ 1.2
Brentford's solid home form, scoring an average of 1.38 goals while conceding just 1.13 per
game, gives them a strong edge. Crystal Palace struggles away, conceding 1.5 goals on average, making a Brentford or draw result likely.
💡 Despite being lower in the standings, Crystal Palace has shown resilience, scoring 28 goals in their last 20 matches, which is comparable to Brentford's 29. This could lead to a tighter
game than expected.
Final Result
Brentford 2 : 2 Crystal Palace
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Brentford hosts Crystal Palace at the Gtech Community Stadium in Middlesex, and this clash promises to be an intriguing battle. With Brentford eyeing a strong finish to the season, they'll face a Crystal Palace side eager to climb the standings. Both teams have had their ups and downs, but Brentford's home advantage could be the deciding factor. You'll want to keep an eye on Thiago, Brentford's top scorer, as he looks to add to his impressive tally.
Avg Scored1.45
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.550%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets8
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.1
Over 2.560%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets7
🏟️Venue
Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
17,250 capacity · Grass
⭐ Brentford — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| C. Kelleher | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.06 | 35 | 3 |
| M. Jensen | Midfielder | 3 | 1 | 6.97 | 34 | 31 |
| Thiago | Attacker | 22 | 1 | 6.97 | 36 | 23 |
| M. Kayode | Defender | 1 | 1 | 6.89 | 35 | 34 |
| S. van den Berg | Defender | 0 | 1 | 6.81 | 30 | 6 |
⭐ Crystal Palace — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Guéhi | Defender | 2 | 2 | 7.22 | 20 | 9 |
| W. Benítez | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | 1 | 0 |
| A. Wharton | Midfielder | 0 | 5 | 7.08 | 31 | 38 |
| D. Henderson | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.96 | 34 | 1 |
| C. Richards | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.96 | 31 | 9 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.2
Double Chance X22.05
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.2
Under 1.5 Goals4.33
Historical Data
In their last nine meetings, Brentford and Crystal Palace have each won twice, with five draws. Matches between them average 2 goals, with 33% of games seeing over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in 67% of these encounters, indicating a high likelihood of both finding the net. Notably, their last meeting saw Crystal Palace win 2-0, but Brentford had previously claimed a 2-1 victory. These head-to-heads suggest a closely contested match, with little separating the two sides historically.
Model Output & Recommendation
The model leans towards a Brentford victory with a 46% chance, influenced by their stronger home form and xG of 1.74. Crystal Palace's away xG of 1.06 suggests they'll struggle to dominate. The confidence score of 88% combines data strength, agreement, and consistency, pointing to a reliable prediction. Given the odds of 1.71 for a Brentford win, the value lies in the Double Chance 1X bet at odds of 1.2, reducing risk while capitalizing on Brentford's home advantage.
Statistical Deep Dive
Brentford's attacking prowess at home is evident, scoring 1.38 goals on average while conceding 1.13. Their xG stands at 1.74, indicating potential for goals. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, averages 1.4 goals away but concedes 1.5, showing vulnerability on the road. The model predicts a 46% chance of a Brentford win, with a 32% draw chance. Both teams have shown a tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals, with Brentford at 50% and Crystal Palace at 60%. However, Brentford has kept 8 clean sheets in their last 20 matches, a sign of defensive solidity.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Brentford is predicted to
win with a 46% probability. They average 1.38 goals at home and have kept 5 clean sheets, showing strong defensive and offensive form. Crystal Palace's away struggles, conceding 1.5 goals on average, further support this prediction.
2
What are the
odds for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The
odds are Brentford: 1.71, Draw: 3.9, Crystal Palace: 4.35. This translates to implied probabilities of 58.48% for Brentford, 25.64% for Draw, and 22.99% for Crystal Palace. Brentford's
odds represent value given the model's 46%
win probability.
3
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The model predicts a total xG of 2.8, aligning with a potential for over 2.5 goals, which has occurred in 50% of Brentford's
games and 60% of Palace's. The
odds for Over 2.5 are 1.65. Given these stats, a 'Yes' is a reasonable expectation.
4
What is the correct
score prediction for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely
score is 1-1, but considering Brentford's xG of 1.74, a 2-1
win is plausible. Crystal Palace's lower xG of 1.06 suggests they'll find it tough to
score more than once.
5
Will both
teams score in Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
With BTTS percentages of 40% for Brentford and 60% for Palace, and 67% in their head-to-heads, both
teams scoring is likely. The
odds are 1.65 for 'Yes'. Brentford's 8 clean sheets suggest they're slightly more likely to keep a clean sheet.
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Premier League17.05.2026
