⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.57
25% probability
Draw @ 4.2
Both
teams show similar strength with Castellón slightly ahead in form. The model suggests a high probability of a draw given the evenly matched statistics and tight defensive records.
💡 Eibar's away defense is rock solid, conceding just 0.4 goals per
match. Castellón's home attack will face a true test.
Final Result
Castellón 2 : 1 Eibar
Our prediction: X ✗
Castellón faces Eibar in a crucial Segunda División clash at an undisclosed venue. With only two points separating them, this match is pivotal for playoff ambitions. Castellón ranks 6th, riding a wave of form with a WDDLW streak. Eibar is 8th, also pushing for promotion with a WLWLW form. Both sides have formidable defenses, but Castellón's home advantage could tilt the balance. Expect a tactical battle with every point vital.
Avg Scored1.7
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.545%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets7
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded0.6
Over 2.540%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets12
⭐ Castellón — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Alberto Jiménez | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.23 | 35 | 25 |
| B. Cipenga | Midfielder | 6 | 9 | 7.19 | 29 | 46 |
| Álex Calatrava | Midfielder | 13 | 7 | 7.18 | 40 | 97 |
| J. Mellot | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.11 | 36 | 16 |
| R. Matthys | Goalkeeper | 0 | 1 | 7.03 | 37 | 2 |
⭐ Eibar — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Anaitz Arbilla | Defender | 4 | 1 | 7.10 | 33 | 13 |
| Peru Nolaskoain | Midfielder | 3 | 2 | 7.09 | 28 | 8 |
| Jon Mikel | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.06 | 41 | 1 |
| José Corpas | Midfielder | 6 | 7 | 6.93 | 39 | 60 |
| Sergio Álvarez | Midfielder | 2 | 1 | 6.93 | 35 | 15 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.14
Double Chance X22.4
Double Chance 121.17
Over 1.5 Goals1.18
Under 1.5 Goals4.75
Verdict
Expect a tight contest. Castellón's home form gives them a slight edge, but Eibar's defensive solidity away cannot be ignored. Key players Álex Calatrava and Anaitz Arbilla will be pivotal in their respective roles. Odds suggest Castellón at 1.54, Draw at 4.2, and Eibar at 5.4. The model favors a draw due to both teams' defensive strengths and similar attack capabilities. With Castellón's home advantage and Eibar's away resilience, a 1-1 draw seems likely.
Focus: Castellón
Castellón sits 6th with 69 points. Their recent form is solid: WDDLW. At home, they average 1.8 goals scored and just 1 conceded per match. Key players include Álex Calatrava, who boasts 13 goals and 7 assists, and B. Cipenga with 6 goals and 9 assists. Their 4-4-2 formation has been effective, especially at home where they've secured 12 wins this season. R. Matthys in goal has been a fortress, with 7 clean sheets. Castellón’s consistency, especially at home, makes them a tough opponent.
The Visitors: Eibar
Eibar, ranked 8th, thrives on a strong away defense. They've conceded just 0.4 goals per away game, a testament to their resilience. Recent away form shows WLWLW, indicating a slight inconsistency. Anaitz Arbilla leads the defense with commanding performances. José Corpas, with 6 goals and 7 assists, remains their key attacking threat. Despite scoring just 0.9 goals per away game, their structured 4-2-3-1 formation keeps them competitive. Eibar's ability to grind out results on the road could be crucial.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Castellón vs Eibar?
Castellón:
odds of 1.54 (64.94%), Draw:
odds of 4.2 (23.81%), Eibar:
odds of 5.4 (18.52%). The model shows value in the draw at 42% probability.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Castellón vs Eibar?
Model's most likely
score is 0-0. Predicted
score is 1-1, based on Castellón's home scoring average and Eibar's defensive record. xG values are closely matched at 0.65 and 0.63.
3
What is Castellón's recent form?
Last 5 results: WDDLW. Home-specific: 12
wins, avg 1.8 goals scored, 5 clean sheets. Form is stable with consistent performances.
4
What is Eibar's away form this season?
Last 5 away results: WLWLW. Eibar has 5 away
wins, scoring 0.9 goals per
match, conceding 0.4. Their away form is solid defensively.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Castellón vs Eibar?
Double Chance 1X:
odds of 1.14, X2:
odds of 2.4, 12:
odds of 1.17. 1X offers high probability but low value. X2 has moderate value given Eibar's resilience.
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