FC AugsburgDraw 13%Borussia Mönchengladbach
🏆
Prediction
FC Augsburg @ 2.12
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.62
59% probability
Augsburg's recent form has been impressive, especially at home, scoring an average of 1.5 goals while conceding just 1.2. Mönchengladbach struggles away, averaging only 0.75 goals per
game while conceding 2.17. Augsburg's solid home performance makes them a strong favorite.
💡 Augsburg has been on an upward trend, earning 1.8 points per
game recently, which is a significant improvement over their earlier form. This momentum could be crucial against a Mönchengladbach side that has been stable but unspectacular.
Final Result
FC Augsburg 3 : 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Our prediction: 1 ✓
Hey there, football fans! This Saturday sees FC Augsburg take on Borussia Mönchengladbach at the WWK Arena in Augsburg. Both teams are looking to finish the Bundesliga season on a high note. Augsburg is sitting comfortably in 9th place, while Mönchengladbach hopes to climb from 11th. With just a few games left, every point counts, and this matchup could be a thrilling watch.
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded1.45
Over 2.550%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
WDDLD
Avg Scored1.05
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.550%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
🏟️Venue
WWK Arena, Augsburg
30,662 capacity · Grass
⭐ FC Augsburg — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| F. Dahmen | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.05 | 32 | 4 |
| K. Schlotterbeck | Defender | 0 | 1 | 6.98 | 24 | 12 |
| D. Giannoulis | Midfielder | 2 | 5 | 6.97 | 26 | 33 |
| Arthur Chaves | Defender | 2 | 0 | 6.89 | 11 | 3 |
| H. Massengo | Midfielder | 2 | 1 | 6.85 | 31 | 16 |
⭐ Borussia Mönchengladbach — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Nicolas | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.35 | 32 | 2 |
| P. Sander | Midfielder | 2 | 0 | 7.03 | 28 | 11 |
| N. Elvedi | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.99 | 32 | 11 |
| F. Honorat | Midfielder | 2 | 6 | 6.94 | 26 | 45 |
| K. Diks | Defender | 4 | 0 | 6.93 | 28 | 8 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.33
Double Chance X21.67
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.2
Under 1.5 Goals4.33
Historical Data
In the last 10 encounters between these two sides, FC Augsburg has had the upper hand with 6 wins compared to Mönchengladbach's 3. The matches have been high-scoring affairs, averaging 3.4 goals per game, with 70% ending with over 2.5 goals. Interestingly, both teams have scored in 50% of these clashes, suggesting an open contest. Augsburg's recent 4-0 loss to Mönchengladbach will be fresh in their minds, providing extra motivation to set the record straight at home.
Model Output & Recommendation
The Poisson model gives FC Augsburg a strong 77% chance of winning, while Mönchengladbach is at a mere 10%. The model predicts a 2-0 scoreline, reflecting Augsburg's superior xG of 2.69. With a confidence score of 88%, the model's prediction is robust, supported by Augsburg's solid home performance and recent form. The odds of 2.12 for an Augsburg win offer good value compared to model probabilities, making it a recommended bet.
Statistical Deep Dive
FC Augsburg comes into this match with an impressive home record, scoring 1.5 goals per game and conceding 1.2 on average. Their form is on the rise, with a recent uptick in points per game to 1.8. They've hit the net 27 times in their last 20 matches, with a consistency factor of 0.99 indicating steady performances. Mönchengladbach, on the other hand, has struggled away, scoring just 0.75 goals per game and conceding 2.17. They have managed only 4 wins in their last 20 matches. The xG model backs Augsburg heavily with an expected 2.69 goals compared to Mönchengladbach’s 0.59, suggesting a strong home win likelihood.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The predicted winner is FC Augsburg with a 77% probability. They have been consistent at home, scoring 1.5 goals per
game and conceding just 1.2. Augsburg's upward trend in form and recent good results bolster their chances.
2
What are the
odds for FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The
odds are FC Augsburg: 2.12, Draw: 3.55, Borussia Mönchengladbach: 3.15. This translates to implied probabilities of 47.17% for Augsburg, 28.17% for a draw, and 31.75% for Mönchengladbach. The value lies in an Augsburg
win given the model's 77% prediction.
3
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The total xG of 3.28 suggests a high-scoring
game, with a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals. The
odds are 1.62 for over 2.5 goals. Given Augsburg's strong attacking form and Mönchengladbach's defensive vulnerabilities, over 2.5 goals is likely.
4
What is the correct
score prediction for FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model's most likely
score is 2-0 for Augsburg. This aligns with the xG values of 2.69 for Augsburg and 0.59 for Mönchengladbach, reflecting Augsburg's home advantage and form.
5
Will both
teams score in FC Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The BTTS probability is 49%, with
odds of 1.5 for Yes and 2.5 for No. Mönchengladbach's low scoring rate away suggests Augsburg is more likely to keep a clean sheet, making BTTS No a reasonable expectation.
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Bundesliga09.05.2026
