⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
52% probability
Gent's xG is higher at 1.76 compared to Genk's 1.3, and they're playing at home where they have a better scoring average. Despite recent poor form, the model sees value in Gent's potential to bounce back.
💡 Genk's average of 1.9 goals scored per away
match is impressive, but Gent's home defense has been more resilient, conceding only 1.1 on average.
Final Result
Gent 0 : 0 Genk
Our prediction: 1 โ
Gent takes on Genk at the Planet Group Arena in Gent, and it's shaping up to be a thrilling encounter. Gent is looking to snap out of a rough patch, while Genk aims to capitalize on their stable form. With both teams eyeing a strong finish in the league, this match is crucial for their standing aspirations.
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.545%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.6
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets8
๐๏ธVenue
Planet Group Arena, Gent
20,185 capacity ยท Grass
โญ Gent โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| D. Roef | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.28 | 40 | 3 |
| T. De Vlieger | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.19 | 24 | 13 |
| M. Skรณraล | Midfielder | 2 | 7 | 7.03 | 31 | 58 |
| M. Delorge-Knieper | Midfielder | 0 | 3 | 7.00 | 19 | 16 |
| Tiago Araรบjo | Defender | 1 | 4 | 6.94 | 34 | 57 |
โญ Genk โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| B. Heynen | Midfielder | 4 | 1 | 7.31 | 39 | 46 |
| H. Van Crombrugge | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.18 | 12 | 0 |
| M. Smets | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.17 | 39 | 17 |
| Z. El Ouahdi | Defender | 8 | 4 | 7.09 | 34 | 49 |
| D. Heymans | Midfielder | 10 | 4 | 7.04 | 30 | 32 |
Historical Data
In their last 10 encounters, Genk has had the upper hand with 5 wins, while Gent managed just 1 win. The average goals across these matches sit at 2.8, with half of them seeing over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. Their last meeting saw Genk dominate with a 3-0 victory, but Gent will hope to turn the tables at home.
Model Output & Recommendation
The model predicts Gent to have a 39% chance of winning, slightly ahead of Genk's 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, but the model leans towards Gent edging it out. The confidence score of 86% is built from data consistency and agreement among statistical indicators. With odds at 2.56 for a Gent win, there's perceived value based on their higher xG.
Statistical Deep Dive
Gent has struggled recently with a form of LDDDL, scoring an average of just 1.25 goals per game in their last 20 matches. At home, they manage slightly better defensively, conceding only 1.1 goals per game. Genk, on the other hand, comes into this with a stable form and a decent away record, scoring 1.9 goals on average. The expected goals (xG) model gives Gent a slight edge with an xG of 1.76 compared to Genk's 1.3, suggesting a potentially tight contest.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Gent vs Genk?
The prediction favors Gent with a 39% probability. Gent's stronger xG of 1.76 and their home advantage contribute to this outlook, despite Genk's better overall form.
2
What are the
odds for Gent vs Genk?
The
odds are 2.56 for Gent, 3.45 for a draw, and 3.12 for Genk. This translates to implied probabilities of 39%, 29%, and 32% respectively. The model suggests value in backing Gent given their xG advantage.
3
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gent vs Genk?
Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.92. With an xG total of 3.06 and a 52% likelihood from the model, it leans towards a yes, particularly given Genk's high scoring away
games.
4
What is the correct
score prediction for Gent vs Genk?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-1, but it suggests a 2-1
win for Gent based on their higher xG and home advantage.
5
The BTTS is expected at 53%, with
odds of 1.88. Given Gent's home defensive record and Genk's scoring prowess, it's likely both
teams will find the net.
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/* โโ v15: Info row (venue + coaches) โโ */
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Jupiler Pro League31.05.2026
