Nottingham ForestDraw 19%Newcastle
🏆
Prediction
Nottingham Forest @ 2.55
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.7
62% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.57
65% probability
Nottingham Forest
Win @ 2.55
Forest's recent form is electric,
winning five in a row, including a statement 3-1 victory over Chelsea. Their home defense is solid, conceding just 0.64 goals on average. Newcastle's away struggles continue, losing four out of their last five trips. With an xG of 1.85 to Newcastle's 0.59, Forest has the edge.
💡 Forest's defense at home is rock solid, with eight clean sheets in the last 20 matches. This consistency at the back gives them a crucial advantage against Newcastle's shaky away form.
Final Result
Nottingham Forest 1 : 1 Newcastle
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Nottingham Forest are on fire. The City Ground in Nottingham hosts a clash where Forest aims to capitalize on their five-match winning streak. Newcastle arrives in turmoil, losing four of their last five. The stakes? Survival for Forest, pride for Newcastle. Forest's form is the story here. They look unbeatable right now. Newcastle? They're floundering.
Avg Scored1.7
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.555%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets8
Avg Scored1.75
Avg Conceded2.05
Over 2.580%
BTTS90%
Clean Sheets1
🏟️Venue
The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
30,576 capacity · Grass
⭐ Nottingham Forest — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| E. Anderson | Midfielder | 3 | 2 | 7.29 | 35 | 50 |
| Murillo | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.02 | 25 | 8 |
| I. Sangaré | Midfielder | 2 | 2 | 6.98 | 26 | 12 |
| N. Williams | Defender | 2 | 3 | 6.94 | 34 | 35 |
| Morato | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.93 | 18 | 1 |
⭐ Newcastle — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Bruno Guimarães | Midfielder | 9 | 5 | 7.48 | 26 | 43 |
| F. Schär | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.12 | 16 | 4 |
| A. Gordon | Attacker | 6 | 2 | 7.08 | 26 | 26 |
| M. Thiaw | Defender | 4 | 0 | 7.05 | 32 | 6 |
| S. Botman | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.01 | 22 | 8 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.48
Double Chance X21.48
Double Chance 121.25
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 1.5 Goals4.2
Verdict
Expect Nottingham Forest to continue their winning momentum. E. Anderson's midfield mastery and M. Gibbs-White's goal-scoring prowess could be decisive. Newcastle's defensive frailties, especially away, are glaring. With odds of 2.55 for a Forest win, this represents value considering Forest's xG of 1.85 compared to Newcastle's 0.59. Forest's home form and Newcastle's away woes point to a home victory. Forest to edge it, likely 2-0, given their strong defensive record at home.
Focus: Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest is in blistering form. Five consecutive wins have lifted them to 16th, just three points behind Newcastle. At home, they're formidable, conceding only 0.64 goals per match. E. Anderson and I. Sangaré are pivotal, controlling the midfield with precision. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allows for flexibility and defensive solidity. With M. Gibbs-White netting 13 times this season, he’s their key attacking threat. Forest's recent victories against Chelsea and Aston Villa showcase their improvement, averaging 1.93 goals per game. Consistency in performance, especially at home, is their strongest asset right now.
The Visitors: Newcastle
Newcastle's away form is a concern. They've lost four of their last five away games, conceding heavily. Their defense leaks 2.09 goals per away match. Key players like Bruno Guimarães, with 9 goals and 5 assists, offer an attacking spark. Yet, their 4-3-3 formation leaves them vulnerable at the back. While they scored 1.73 goals on average away, it's the defense that lets them down. Recent away losses to Arsenal and Crystal Palace highlight their struggles. They need a defensive overhaul to compete at The City Ground.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What are the
odds for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Nottingham Forest: 2.55, Draw: 3.5, Newcastle: 2.55. Implied probabilities are 39.22%, 28.57%, and 39.22% respectively. The model suggests Forest at 59%, offering value.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Model's most likely
score is 1-0. Predicted outcome aligns with a 2-0 victory for Forest, based on Forest's xG of 1.85 and Newcastle's 0.59.
3
What is Nottingham Forest's recent form?
Last 5: WWWWW. Home, they've won 4, averaging 1.18 goals, with 4 clean sheets. Form is on an upward trend.
4
What is Newcastle's away form this season?
Last 5 away: LLLWL. They've won 4 away this season, averaging 1.73 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per
match.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
Double Chance 1X at
odds of 1.48 covers a Forest
win or draw. Combined probability exceeds implied
odds, making it a viable option.
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Premier League10.05.2026
