Saint EtienneDraw 25%Nice
🏆
Prediction
Saint Etienne @ 2.34
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.7
49% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.53
41% probability
Saint Etienne has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.73 goals while conceding only 0.73. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.63 compared to Nice's 0.55 further supports their likelihood of
winning.
💡 Saint Etienne's home scoring average of 1.73 per
match significantly outpaces their overall scoring rate, indicating a strong home advantage.
Final Result
Saint Etienne 0 : 0 Nice
Our prediction: 1 โ
Saint Etienne hosts Nice in a crucial Ligue 1 matchup on May 26, 2026. With Nice sitting at 16th place and facing relegation playoffs, every point is crucial. Saint Etienne, despite a recent dip in form, has shown strong home performances, averaging 1.73 goals per match at home. The stakes are high for both teams, with Nice needing points to escape the relegation zone.
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.550%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets9
Avg Scored1.05
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
โญ Saint Etienne โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Bernauer | Defender | 0 | 0 | 8.20 | 1 | 0 |
| G. Larsonneur | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Z. Davitashvili | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 5 |
| A. Kantรฉ | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.90 | 1 | 0 |
| J. Le Cardinal | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
โญ Nice โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Y. Diouf | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.01 | 26 | 0 |
| J. Clauss | Midfielder | 1 | 6 | 6.99 | 30 | 66 |
| S. Diop | Midfielder | 8 | 2 | 6.92 | 33 | 35 |
| K. Peprah Oppong | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.82 | 29 | 6 |
| H. Boudaoui | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.82 | 25 | 17 |
๐ Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.36
Double Chance X21.57
Double Chance 121.3
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 1.5 Goals4.2
Form & Season Statistics
Saint Etienne's recent form shows a slight decline, with a record of WWLLL in their last five matches. They have scored an average of 1.35 goals per game this season, with a higher weighted average of 1.44, indicating a slight overperformance in certain matches. Defensively, they have maintained an average of 0.85 goals conceded per game, showcasing a solid backline. At home, they have been formidable, scoring an average of 1.73 goals and conceding just 0.73. In contrast, Nice has shown a stable trend with a recent form of DLDDW. They have scored 21 goals in 20 matches, averaging 1.05 goals per game, but have struggled defensively, conceding 1.4 goals per game. Away from home, Nice has a balanced record, scoring and conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Their form consistency, with a standard deviation of 1.23, suggests a slightly more unpredictable performance compared to Saint Etienne.
Head-to-Head History
In their last 10 meetings, Nice has dominated with 6 wins compared to Saint Etienne's 2. The matches have been high scoring, averaging 3.4 goals per encounter, with 70% of these games going over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting saw Nice win 2-1 on home turf. Historically, Nice has had the upper hand, but Saint Etienne's home advantage should not be underestimated, as they have managed to secure a strong defensive record at home.
Prediction & Best Bet
The prediction for this match leans towards a Saint Etienne victory, with a 54% probability based on the data. Their strong home form, coupled with Nice's struggles on the road, provides a solid basis for this prediction. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, aligning with the expected goals model of 1.63 for Saint Etienne and 0.55 for Nice. For those seeking a safer option, a Double Chance bet on Saint Etienne or a draw offers additional security. Saint Etienne is priced at odds of 2.34 for a win, presenting value considering their home performance metrics.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Saint Etienne vs Nice?
Saint Etienne is predicted to
win with a 54% probability. This is supported by their strong home scoring average of 1.73 goals per
game and a solid defensive record of conceding just 0.73 goals at home.
2
The probability of both
teams scoring is 41%. The
odds for BTTS Yes are 1.53, while BTTS No is 2.38. Given Saint Etienne's clean sheet rate of 45%, Nice is more likely to fail to
score.
3
What is Saint Etienne's recent form?
Saint Etienne's last five results are WWLLL, with a recent home record of 1
win, averaging 1.73 goals scored and maintaining clean sheets in 45% of their matches. Their form is currently declining.
4
What is at stake in Saint Etienne vs Nice?
Nice is currently in 16th place with 32 points, facing relegation playoffs. A
win could be crucial in avoiding the drop, while Saint Etienne aims to solidify their mid-table status.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Saint Etienne vs Nice?
The Double Chance
bet offers 1X at
odds of 1.36, X2 at 1.57, and 12 at 1.3. Given Saint Etienne's strong home form, the 1X option provides a favorable risk-reward balance, with a high implied probability.
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Ligue 126.05.2026
