SC Paderborn 07Draw 15%VfL Wolfsburg
🏆
Prediction
SC Paderborn 07
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
70% probability
SC Paderborn 07's strong home scoring rate (2.5 goals per
match) and VfL Wolfsburg's poor away defense (2.64 goals conceded per
match) create value. The model gives Paderborn a 68%
win probability, exceeding the implied probability of the
odds.
💡 VfL Wolfsburg's recent form shows an upward trend, but their away defense remains vulnerable, conceding over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.
Final Result
SC Paderborn 07 2 : 1 VfL Wolfsburg
Our prediction: 1 โ
As SC Paderborn 07 hosts VfL Wolfsburg at the Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn, the focus is on market positioning and value. Paderborn's home advantage and scoring prowess contrast with Wolfsburg's relegation battle and defensive frailties. Bettors should assess whether Paderborn's consistent attack can exploit Wolfsburg's weaknesses, offering potential value in the odds.
Avg Scored2
Avg Conceded1.55
Over 2.570%
BTTS75%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored1.15
Avg Conceded2.1
Over 2.560%
BTTS75%
Clean Sheets1
๐๏ธVenue
Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
15,306 capacity ยท Grass
โญ VfL Wolfsburg โ Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| J. Kamiลski | Midfielder | 2 | 0 | 7.30 | 4 | 9 |
| K. Grabara | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.21 | 34 | 3 |
| M. Arnold | Midfielder | 1 | 4 | 7.09 | 25 | 29 |
| P. Wimmer | Midfielder | 4 | 3 | 6.92 | 25 | 16 |
| Vinicius Souza | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | 24 | 8 |
Current Form Guide
SC Paderborn 07 has shown mixed form recently with a WDLLD record in their last five games, showing a slight decline. Their home performances remain strong, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match. Conversely, VfL Wolfsburg, despite an upward trend, has struggled away, with only two wins in their last ten away fixtures. Bettors should consider Paderborn's consistent home scoring against Wolfsburg's away vulnerabilities.
Best Bet Recommendation
The highest-value market lies in backing SC Paderborn 07 for the win, given their home scoring strength and Wolfsburg's defensive issues. With a 68% win probability against the implied odds, this presents a clear edge. Additionally, the Over 2.5 goals market is supported by both teams' scoring and conceding patterns, providing a secondary option. For risk-averse bettors, the Double Chance on SC Paderborn 07 or a Draw offers a safer alternative.
Goals & Market Analysis
The expected goals (xG) model projects a high-scoring affair with a total of 5.51 goals. SC Paderborn 07's home matches have frequently exceeded 2.5 goals, with 70% of games hitting this mark. With their average of 2.5 goals scored per home game, and Wolfsburg's 2.64 goals conceded per away match, the Over 2.5 market appears promising. The model assigns a 70% probability to Over 2.5 goals and 81% to BTTS, indicating a high likelihood of goals on both sides.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
SC Paderborn 07 is predicted to
win with a 68% probability. Their average of 2.5 goals scored per home
game and Wolfsburg's 2.64 goals conceded away underscore this prediction. Paderborn's home form gives them an edge.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Yes, there is a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, with a 70% probability. Both
teams have exceeded this mark frequently in recent matches, and the xG total supports a high-scoring
game. The exact
odds for Over 2.5 are 1.43.
3
What is SC Paderborn 07's recent form?
SC Paderborn 07's last five results are WDLLD, scoring 7 and conceding 10 goals. At home, they average 2.5 goals scored, with four clean sheets in their last ten home matches. Their form shows a slight decline.
4
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The Double Chance 1X is worth considering, priced at 1.25. The combined probability for 1X is 83%, offering a favorable comparison to the implied probability of the
odds. This
bet provides a good risk-adjusted value.
5
Is Over 1.5 goals a safe
bet in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Yes, Over 1.5 goals is a safe
bet, with a 97% probability. Both
teams have consistently seen over 1.5 goals in their matches, with SC Paderborn 07 involved in 19 of 20 and Wolfsburg in 18 of 20 recent
games featuring 2+ goals.
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Bundesliga25.05.2026
