VfB StuttgartDraw 32%Bayer Leverkusen
🏆
Prediction
VfB Stuttgart @ 2.14
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.35
54% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.33
59% probability
VfB Stuttgart has shown consistent home form with 11
wins out of 16 home matches this season. Bayer Leverkusen, while strong, has a slightly less robust away record. Stuttgart's home goal average of 1.82 and Leverkusen's recent defensive vulnerabilities suggest Stuttgart is in a strong position.
💡 Stuttgart's D. Undav has been pivotal, contributing 18 goals this season, which could be decisive against Leverkusen's defense that has shown lapses in recent away
games.
Final Result
VfB Stuttgart 3 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
Our prediction: 1 ✓
As VfB Stuttgart hosts Bayer Leverkusen, the stakes are high in this Bundesliga clash at a pivotal point in the season. Both teams are vying for European competition spots, with Stuttgart aiming to secure a UEFA Europa League place and Leverkusen eyeing a Champions League berth. Stuttgart sits 5th with 58 points, tied with Leverkusen, who are just above them due to goal difference. A win for either side could be crucial in defining their European journey next season.
Avg Scored2.15
Avg Conceded1.45
Over 2.570%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.85
Avg Conceded1.15
Over 2.545%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets6
⭐ VfB Stuttgart — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| A. Stiller | Midfielder | 2 | 5 | 7.24 | 32 | 52 |
| M. Mittelstädt | Defender | 5 | 4 | 7.23 | 30 | 35 |
| D. Undav | Midfielder | 18 | 6 | 7.20 | 27 | 38 |
| C. Führich | Midfielder | 7 | 6 | 7.18 | 31 | 43 |
| A. Nübel | Goalkeeper | 0 | 1 | 7.16 | 32 | 3 |
⭐ Bayer Leverkusen — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Aleix García | Midfielder | 2 | 7 | 7.47 | 31 | 47 |
| Álex Grimaldo | Midfielder | 8 | 8 | 7.34 | 27 | 68 |
| E. Tapsoba | Defender | 5 | 3 | 7.25 | 27 | 10 |
| J. Blaswich | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.22 | 11 | 2 |
| I. Maza | Attacker | 3 | 4 | 7.14 | 26 | 27 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.4
Double Chance X21.67
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.11
Under 1.5 Goals6.25
Form Comparison
Stuttgart's recent form has been mixed, showing inconsistencies with a DDLWL record. Their home performance, however, has been robust with 11 wins and boasting a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.91 goals on average. Leverkusen enters the match with momentum from a WWLWW stretch, demonstrating resilience, especially in away fixtures where they have scored consistently. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in matches against top-half teams, which Stuttgart will look to exploit.
Expert Prediction
Given the stakes, Stuttgart's strong home form and Leverkusen's recent defensive lapses, Stuttgart is favored to clinch a win. The model suggests a 44% probability for a Stuttgart victory, priced at 2.14, providing value against Leverkusen's odds of 2.88. While Leverkusen has shown attacking prowess, Stuttgart's home advantage and the goal-scoring form of D. Undav, the league's second top scorer, could prove decisive. Pressure is on both teams, but Stuttgart's consistency at home gives them an edge.
Match Stakes & Context
With both teams locked at 58 points, this fixture is critical in the race for European spots. Stuttgart, ranked 5th, is striving to secure Europa League qualification, but a victory could propel them into Champions League contention, overtaking Leverkusen in the 4th spot. Leverkusen, with a superior goal difference of +23 compared to Stuttgart's +20, understands the importance of this match in maintaining their current position. A draw would maintain the status quo but with only two games left after this fixture, both teams are likely to push for maximum points to bolster their European ambitions.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
VfB Stuttgart is predicted to
win with a 44% probability. Stuttgart's home form is strong, averaging 1.82 goals per
game, and they have kept 8 clean sheets at home. Their defensive solidity and D. Undav's goal-scoring form boost their chances.
2
What are the
odds for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The
odds are VfB Stuttgart: 2.14, Draw: 3.9, Bayer Leverkusen: 2.88. This translates to implied probabilities of 46.73% for Stuttgart, 25.64% for a draw, and 34.72% for Leverkusen. Stuttgart's
odds present the best value given their home form.
3
Will both
teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Both
teams are likely to
score, with a BTTS probability of 59%. Historical H2H matches show an 80% BTTS rate. The
odds for BTTS Yes are 1.33, while No is 3.2. Leverkusen's away clean sheet rate is low, suggesting they might concede.
4
What is the best
bet for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The best value
bet is for VfB Stuttgart to
win at
odds of 2.14. The model's 44% probability for a Stuttgart
win is higher than the implied
odds probability of 46.73%, indicating a value edge.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
In the last 10 meetings, Stuttgart has won 1, drawn 4, and lost 5 against Leverkusen. The average goals per H2H meeting is 3.7, with a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals. Leverkusen has historically had the edge, but Stuttgart's recent 4-1 away victory suggests a shift in momentum.
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Bundesliga09.05.2026
