World Cup|20/06/2026
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
57% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.85
46% probability
Türkiye enters this
match with a commanding 73% probability of victory, backed by a strong home record of seven
wins from nine matches. Their average of two goals per home
game highlights their attacking prowess. Paraguay’s away form, with only three
wins in their last thirteen away matches, further solidifies Türkiye’s edge. The value edge is clear as the implied probability is lower than the model's projection.
💡 Türkiye's home matches average two goals scored per
game, which contrasts sharply with Paraguay's away goal average of just one. This attacking strength at home could be decisive.
Final Result
Türkiye 0 : 1 Paraguay
Our prediction: 1 ✗
As Türkiye and Paraguay clash in the World Cup, the stakes are high for both teams. With no league standings data, each side is eager to carve out their path on the global stage. Türkiye boasts an impressive home form, averaging two goals per game, making them a formidable host. Paraguay, however, struggles on the road, with a less convincing away record. This match promises to test the resilience of both squads, with Türkiye's offensive might facing Paraguay's need to prove their mettle away from home.
Avg Scored2.1
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.565%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets7
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1
Over 2.550%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets9
Form Guide: The Last Month in Focus
Türkiye's recent form is impressive, with four wins in their last five, including a dominant 4-0 home victory against FYR Macedonia. Their only blemish, a 2-0 loss to Australia, came away from home. Their high possession and shot averages indicate an attacking confidence. Paraguay, meanwhile, managed a solid 4-0 win over Nicaragua at home, but suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to the USA on the road. The contrast in results suggests Türkiye's form is superior, particularly in attack, as they maintain higher shot accuracy and goal frequency.
Prediction: What the Environment Suggests
With Türkiye's robust home form clashing with Paraguay's inconsistent away performances, the odds favor a home victory. The probability model gives Türkiye a 73% chance to win, at odds of 1.37, providing a value edge. While Paraguay has had occasional success away, Türkiye's consistent scoring and defensive solidity at home make them the safer pick. The home advantage, combined with superior form, suggests a Türkiye win is the most likely outcome.
The Home Factor: How Much Does It Matter Here?
Türkiye’s home record is a fortress, with seven wins from nine matches, scoring an average of two goals while conceding just one. This formidable home presence contrasts with Paraguay’s away struggles, where they have only three wins in thirteen games, scoring an average of one goal but conceding 1.38. The home advantage is significant, as Türkiye’s ability to score frequently at home can overwhelm Paraguay’s often porous defense on the road. The data strongly suggests that home advantage is a decisive factor in this matchup, tipping the scales in Türkiye’s favor.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Türkiye is predicted to
win with a 73% probability. Their home strength is notable, averaging two goals per
game and achieving seven
wins out of nine. Paraguay's away struggles, with only three
wins from thirteen
games, further tilt the balance towards Türkiye.
2
What is the best
bet for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The best value
bet is a Türkiye
Win at
odds of 1.37. The model's probability of 73% exceeds the implied
odds, showcasing a clear value edge. Türkiye's dominant home record supports this prediction.
3
What is Türkiye's recent form?
Türkiye has won four of their last five matches, including a 4-0 home victory against FYR Macedonia. At home, they have seven
wins, averaging two goals and maintaining clean sheets in several matches. Their form appears stable and strong.
4
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Draw No
Bet means if the
match ends in a draw, your stake is returned. The
odds for Türkiye in this market are not specified, but given their strong home form, it offers a safer alternative to a straight
win bet.
5
Are there injury concerns for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
There are no significant injuries reported for either
team. Both squads appear fit, which means the
match will likely be decided by form and tactics rather than player absences.