In the vibrant city of Łódź, Widzew Łódź and Radomiak Radom clash in a showdown that could redefine their early-season trajectories. With Widzew sitting 13th and Radomiak just a notch above in 12th, the stakes couldn’t be higher as both teams aim to distance themselves from the relegation zone. Widzew’s home prowess, averaging 1.71 goals
Prediction: Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa | 05/09/2026
31.08.2026
07:03
Widzew Łódź
79%
VS
Radomiak Radom
10%
Prediction
Widzew Łódź @ 1.7
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.9
69% probability
45%Model accuracy (last 60 days) — 125/280
★ BEST BET
Widzew Łódź Win @ 1.7
Widzew Łódź boasts a commanding 79% win probability, well above the implied 58.8% from odds of 1.70. Their home form, with an average of 1.71 goals scored per match, contrasts sharply with Radomiak Radom's away struggles, conceding 2.86 goals on average. The model's confidence at 88% further supports this pick.
💡 Widzew Łódź's xG of 3.77 highlights their potent home attack, a stark contrast to Radomiak Radom's xG of 0.56, revealing a potential mismatch in offensive capabilities.
Final Result
Widzew Łódź 0 : 0 Radomiak Radom
Our prediction: 1 ✗
In the vibrant city of Łódź, Widzew Łódź and Radomiak Radom clash in a showdown that could redefine their early-season trajectories. With Widzew sitting 13th and Radomiak just a notch above in 12th, the stakes couldn't be higher as both teams aim to distance themselves from the relegation zone. Widzew's home prowess, averaging 1.71 goals per match, faces off against a Radomiak side struggling on their travels, conceding nearly three goals per game. This match promises fireworks, with both teams desperate for points to ignite their seasons and climb the standings. Expect a thrilling encounter as Widzew seeks to exploit Radomiak's defensive frailties.
Team Statistics
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.18
Double Chance X22.1
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.28
Under 1.5 Goals3.55
Recent Form: Scoring & Defensive Patterns
Widzew Łódź's recent form shows a mixed bag, but their 2-3 loss to Lech Poznan and 3-3 draw with Slask Wroclaw indicate a lively attack. Their home record remains solid, averaging 1.71 goals scored. Radomiak Radom, however, has struggled defensively, losing 1-5 to Legia Warszawa and allowing 42 goals in 20 matches. Their away form is particularly concerning, conceding 2.86 goals on average. Widzew's scoring consistency at home contrasts with Radomiak's vulnerability on the road, suggesting a potential goal-fest in favor of the hosts.
Best Bet Recommendation
The top market is Widzew Łódź to win at odds of 1.70, offering a value edge with a 79% model probability versus a 58.8% implied probability. Widzew's home scoring average of 1.71 goals and Radomiak's defensive woes reinforce this pick. Additionally, their head-to-head history shows Widzew often triumphs at home. A secondary market is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.90, given the high expected goals. A combination bet on Widzew to win and Over 2.5 goals could maximize returns.
Goal Markets: The Full Analysis
The expected goals suggest a high-scoring affair, with Widzew Łódź predicted to generate 3.77 xG against Radomiak Radom's 0.56. The Over 2.5 goals market, priced at odds of 1.90, offers a model probability of 69%, yielding a significant value edge. Historically, 80% of their head-to-heads have surpassed this mark. Both teams' recent form supports the BTTS market, with Radomiak's away games seeing goals galore, but Widzew's solid home defense could thwart them. The Over 1.5 market, with a 93% probability, is a safer play, reflecting Widzew's strong attacking stats. Goals tend to come in the first half, with Widzew scoring 11 of their 16 goals before the break, making early goals likely. Ranked by value: Over 2.5, Over 1.5, BTTS.
The Decisive Statistical Battlegrounds
The first key battle is Widzew Łódź's home attack against Radomiak Radom's away defense. Widzew averages 1.71 goals at home, while Radomiak concedes 2.86 away. Expect Widzew to dominate this duel. Next, Radomiak's ability to score away, averaging just 1 goal, faces Widzew's sturdy defense, conceding 0.86 at home. Widzew should hold strong. Finally, set pieces could be decisive, with Widzew's aerial threat against Radomiak's defensive set-piece vulnerabilities. The most critical battleground is Widzew's attack versus Radomiak's defense, directly impacting the recommended market of Widzew to win.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
2
3
